Republicans are looking to defend their congressional majority in 2026, even as historical trends show the party in power often loses ground in midterms. Redistricting in states like Texas may help Republicans gain additional seats, while Democrats face fewer opportunities to expand their influence.
Johnson told Fox News last week that Republicans won “every aspect” of the 2024 presidential election and predicted strong performance in the upcoming midterms. On Truth Social, Trump praised the GOP’s progress, writing that the party is “doing really well” and that millions have joined the effort to “MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.” He also highlighted fundraising successes and policy achievements, suggesting a midterm convention could capitalize on the momentum.
Meanwhile, Democrats are grappling with declining voter registrations. Analysis of state data by L2, a nonpartisan firm tracking voter rolls, indicates that more new voters registered as Republicans than Democrats for the first time since 2018. Between the 2020 and 2024 elections, Democrats lost roughly 2.1 million registrants, while Republicans gained about 2.4 million, creating a net swing of 4.5 million voters nationwide.
The shift reflects changes in voter demographics, including gains among men, younger voters, and Latino communities. Political analysts say the trend represents a significant challenge for Democrats as they prepare for the 2026 elections.
Trump’s proposal for a national midterm convention, combined with Republican voter gains, signals an aggressive strategy to consolidate support and energize the party base in the lead-up to the next congressional elections.
